Roma – Napoli

Napoli goes to Rome for points

After winning the last round, Roma topped the Serie A standings. In the last round, the "wolves" faced Cremonese. Already in the 17th minute, Sule scored with a striking shot. The "Giallorossi" could have doubled their advantage almost immediately, but the goal was disallowed after VAR intervention. The Romans had an impressive segment from the 60th to the 70th minute. Following the dismissal of Gian Piero Gasperini, Roma managed to score twice. And although Cremonese scored a "consolation goal," they could not achieve more. On Thursday, the Romans defeated Midtjylland 2:1 in the Europa League. Napoli dealt with their opponent in the European match without much trouble. On Tuesday, the "Partenopei" won against Karabakh with a score of 2:0. More notably was the victory of Antonio Conte’s team in the championship. The Neapolitans managed to beat Atalanta 3:1, breaking their winless streak. All three of the "Azzurri" goals were scored in the first half. Both the Romans and the Neapolitans significantly outperform the xPTS metrics. Thus, according to it, the "Giallorossi" earned 7.06 more points than they should have. It's also quite interesting that Gian Piero Gasperini’s team concedes significantly fewer goals than expected. Statistically, the "wolves" could have retrieved the ball from their own net eight more times. Antonio Conte’s team is somewhat more modest in numbers. Napoli conceded 4.15 fewer goals than they should have and earned six points more according to xPTS. It's worth noting that such discrepancies are typical for the team’s home matches. In away games, Conte's team has different numbers. Thus, the "Azzurri" were shortchanged 3.19 goals according to xG and even fell slightly short on points. In the last five encounters, the Romans celebrated only one victory. In the previous season, the "Partenopei" defeated the opponent at "Diego Armando Maradona" with a score of 1:0, and a high-scoring draw of 1:1 was recorded at the Roman "Olimpico." Interestingly, in matches in Rome, the statistics are identical. The "wolves" have won only one of the last five matches against the "Azzurri" at home. In addition, there were two draws and two games went to the Neapolitans. Despite the abundance of injured players, Napoli cannot be considered the underdog in this match. Considering all of the above, one could bet that Antonio Conte’s team will earn points in the upcoming match.