Nizhnyi Novgorod – Dynamo M

Pari NN is very unlucky in recent matches

On Saturday, 12 April, Paris NN will play against Dynamo. Both teams are in crisis. The Muscovites risk falling out of the fight even for the medals, while Nizhny Novgorod have fallen to the fourteenth position, despite solid winter reinforcements. Pari NN series is surprising: four consecutive defeats with one goal scored. In the previous round the Volga managed to concede two goals at home from Orenburg. At the same time, Pari NN and before that lost to Khimki and Rubin - these are far from the grandees of the Russian championship. In winter, the management invested in transfers - six newcomers came at once, but the situation did not improve at all. During the week there were rumours of Viktor Goncharenko's resignation. The fifth consecutive defeat is very likely to be the last one for the Belarusian in the team. The management is considering the option of appointing Magomed Adiyev. We can note a certain bad luck of Volzhans. The team scores much less than it should. In the last five matches on Xg Pari NN scored eight goals, but scored only four. And the opponents, on the contrary, realise more, although they create less. In general, the outsider is in a certain anomalous zone. The Dynamo lost, too. Marcel Licka's wards are inferior to almost all top clubs. In 2025, they lost twice to CSKA and Lokomotiv. The championship race came to an abrupt end, although the Bilo-Syni were called its shadow favourites. Now the gap to Krasnodar has increased to ten points. Of course, the negative factor is Konstantin Tyukavin's injury. Without the main striker, Lichka decided to use the "false nine". The plan is not working. It is interesting that such a crisis at Dinamo occurs even against the background of abnormal performance. That is, the club creates less than it scores about twice as much. Now the ratio between xG goals for the last five matches and real goals is 6 to 12. That is, Dynamo could have fallen apart, but it is the abnormal realisation that helps. In the first round the Muscovites confidently dealt with Pari NN - 3:1. Interesting fact: Nizhny Novgorodians have never beaten Dynamo in the RPL at home. One victory was only away - in 2021. Now analysts give a very high odds on the hosts - 4.30. Here you can just use statistical calculations: Pari NN has an abnormal underachievement in goals, and Dynamo, on the contrary, scores much more than it deserves. That is, there is no such difference between the teams now. This is definitely not the game of a hopeless outsider and a title contender. It is possible that Dynamo's crisis will only get worse. Motivated Pari NN are able to cling on.