Estonia – Malta

In Tallinn, the rivals will be active and score at least two goals

There is only one match in the second group of the Nations League D on Friday. This meeting will be the final for the participants in the battle for promotion. There are only three national teams in this group, with the positions before the match in Tallinn as follows: San Marino are last without a single point after three rounds, while Estonia and Malta share first and second place with six points. Another thing is that the Baltic team have played one less match and squeezed the maximum number of points out of their two meetings. The bookmakers opted to favour the Estonians, offering the same odds for a win as for the Islanders to pick up at least one point. In the last Nations League tie, Estonia played in Ligue C, but finished last in their own quartet before losing a play-off game to Cyprus. The Estonians played in the same group as Belgium and Wales in World Cup qualifying, amassing just four points in eight games and conceding an average of 2.5 goals per game. The home side have entered the current Nations League fixture as group favourites. In the first game, the team took on San Marino without too many problems, while in the second leg they played Malta, where in a challenging match they snatched victory from the home team on 90+4 minutes. While Estonia are ranked 110th in the FIFA World Rankings, Malta are ranked 169th. Despite their disappointing status, the islanders had a decent showing in the last Nations League, finishing second in the quartet with Latvia, Andorra and the Faroes. In qualifying for the Qatar World Cup, the Maltese came last with a goal difference of 9:30 after ten matches (an average of four goals per game). The island side are doing well in the current Nations League tournament. If not for the aforementioned embarrassment of the first game against Estonia, the point from that game would have added up to two victories over San Marino. Given their current position in the group, only a win would allow Malta to claim the final top spot. Most likely, in a match between not the strongest of opponents, there will be a high tempo and reliance on goals. It's a good bet that there will be at least two goals.