Torino – Bologna

Torino and Bologna can show relatively efficient football

Torino can't win for the fourth match in a row. Recently, Ivan Juric dreamed of qualifying for the European Cup, but now it looks like it will be extremely difficult for Torino to realise this dream. This series started with a loss to Empoli. The Bulls lost 3-2 at Carlo Castellani, conceding the third goal on 90+4 minutes. Tellingly, the Adzurri scored three times with four shots on goal. Torino played much more reliably in the next two meetings. Thus, the matches against Juventus and Frosinone ended with "dry" draws. In the Turin derby, however, the team played much better than in the round after. Last Sunday, Ivan Juric's men faced newly crowned Scudetto winners Inter at the Giuseppe Meazza. Torino played competently and did not concede to the snakes until the 49th minute. After Tamez was sent off, the Bulls conceded twice and had little chance to rectify the situation. Bologna almost lost points in the match with Udinese. "Rossoblu" saved themselves from defeat in the 78th minute, while playing in the minority. This result looks a bit illogical against the background of the victory over Roma. Thus, a round before that, Motta's wards beat the Wolves at the Olimpico with a score of 1-3. Friulians, however, continue to go on the fourth line. At the same time, the team can take the bronze medal, as Juventus are only two points away. In the context of the forecast, it is important to note many statistical deviations of the teams according to some metrics. For example, Torino has almost the biggest underachievement in the championship in terms of xG (expected goals). "Bulls" according to this metric are short of 7.77 goals. At the same time, according to xGA, Torino should concede 2.29 more than they have. At the same time, Bologna, according to the statistics, should concede 7.58 more goals. And in away matches, which is also worth considering, to score 3.35 more goals. The away games are not always successful for Motta's wards. Thus, the team in the last ten meetings in all tournaments did not concede only from Frosinone and Empoli. It's hard to believe that Torino's goalless streak will extend to four games. There is no hope that Ivan Juric's men will be able to keep their gates intact. In the first round match Bologna won 2-0. It is not certain that the Rossoblu will triumph now, but two goals in this meeting can be expected.