Inter – Milan

The Derby della Madonnina is unlikely to be high-scoring

Milan's recent results have been nothing short of disastrous. In the seven meetings since the start of the year, the Rossoneri have won just once, lost four times, and dropped out of the Italian Cup. Another major disappointment was their loss in the Italian Super Cup. Even more disappointing, they lost to Inter. And with a devastating 3-0 scoreline. This result was the start of a disastrous losing streak. Stefano Pioli's side were thrashed by Lazio 4-0 and then Sassuolo 5-2. The catastrophic number of goals conceded has a lot to do with the team's defensive problems. Goalkeeper Tătaruşanu and many of the defenders are in terrible form. Along with them, the club's attacking line-up is clearly not in condition. Stefano Pioli is focusing on the upcoming derby. He says his side are as good as their opponents, despite their recent results. He believes that this meeting could well become a turning point for his side. It would be difficult not to believe Pioli, because it will be difficult to predict the tiffosi's reaction in the event of another failure. Inter managed to play in the Italian Cup on Tuesday. "The Nerazzurri were able to beat Atalanta minimally thanks to a Darmian goal. The team made it through to the semi-finals, where they will face Juventus. Prior to that, the Serpents celebrated with a 1-2 win over Cremonese in the league. But even earlier there was a minimal defeat to Empoli. Simone Inzaghi's side, although they have been performing well, are far from always impressive. Since the beginning of the year, Inter have played eight games and their tight schedule has an impact on their performance. Thus, only Milan scored more than two goals (three) in the Super Cup. In other cases, the Serpents have settled for either one goal or two. And only in the meeting with Monza (2-2) did they score more than three goals in total. It is worth noting that there is a discrepancy between the teams' actual and expected statistical performances. For example, Inter have a big over-reliance on the xGA metric for conceded goals. "The Neradzurri should get 6.63 fewer goals from their net. The Rossoneri have a discrepancy on the same metric. Pioli's side have conceded 5.41 more. Only one of the last five Derby della Madonnina games has seen more than three goals scored. The teams are not in top form and at least one of them (Milan) will focus on defence. The opponents are unlikely to score many goals.